Tip-Off: 7:00 PM CT
Location: FedEx Forum (Memphis, Tennessee)
Spread: Memphis (-9)
Thunder/Grizzlies Trends Against The Spread
|17-11 (60%) Overall||19-12 (61%) Overall|
|8-5 (61%) on the road||10-8 (55%) at home|
|16-10 (61%) as an underdog or pick||9-7 (56%) as a favorite|
|3-3 (50%) as a road favorite||7-5 (58%) as a home underdog|
|Head To Head|
|0-1 (0%)||1-0 (100%)|
Thunder/Grizzlies Trends Against The Total
- OKC is hitting the over 39% of the time this season.
- The Grizzlies are hitting the over 51% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 5-8 against the over on the road.
- Memphis is 11-7 against the over on the road.
Lu Dort was huge for the Thunder in Saturday’s upset win over the Clippers with 29 points and five rebounds. OKC will need another big night from him again tonight. In the last outing against Memphis produced 15 points on 37.5% shooting from the floor. His numbers will need to look more like what they did on Saturday night in order for Oklahoma City to be in this game.
On the season Dort is averaging 17.4 points per game and shooting a team best 43.4% from the floor. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 21.6 per game for OKC and rookie Josh Giddy is six assists per game.
Memphis power forward Jaren Jackson posted 27 points in the previous game against the Thunder. That’s a far better number than his season average of 16.4 points per night which is why he’s a player to keep an eye on for the Grizzlies tonight.
Game 1 | OKC 94 – Los Angeles 99
Since arriving in Oklahoma City in 2008, the Thunder is 24-24 against the Clippers (15-8 at home, 9-16 on the road).
Why the Thunder Won’t Cover (+9)
The Grizzlies are coming into this game having won five of their last six but that loss was a 105-100 decision against Portland last night. Oklahoma City could be the perfect rebound for Memphis after the Grizzlies pounded the Thunder into submission with a 152-79 win just eighteen days ago. That was the worst loss in NBA history just in case you weren’t away of it and I’m not sure that OKC is going to have the tools to keep up once again.
Memphis is covering the spread 75% of the time on the second night of a back-to-back.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (214)
There’s a lot of offensive firepower on the Memphis bench and that should be an indicator of how this game might flow tonight. Even with the abysmal offensive performance from OKC two and a half weeks ago these two teams hit the over and there’s really not a reason to expect differently tonight. The Grizzlies are averaging 114.9 points per game at home this season so based on averages you only need 100 points from the Thunder. OKC is averaging 96.5 points per game on the road so we’re going to be in the neighborhood. I think it’s going to be really close but give me a rare over for tonight’s Thunder game.
On the Season
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