Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Will Keep Covering as a Road Dog in Memphis

: 7 PM CT

Location: FedExForum (Memphis, Tennessee)

Spread: Grizzlies (-6)

Total: 231

Trends Against The Spread

10-5 (66%)5-8-2 (38%)
6-2 (75%) on the road4-2 (66%) at home
9-4 (69%) as underdog or pick4-5-2 (44%) as favorite
Location Status
6-1 (85%) as road underdog3-2 (60%) as home favorite
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 66% of the time this season.
  • The Grizzlies have hit the over 46% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder is 5-3 against the over on the road this season.
  • Memphis is 3-3 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats


Series History

The Thunder went 1-2 against the Grizzlies last season (0-1 at home, 1-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+6)

Ja Morant owns the better head-to-head record with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, but Shai has been the better player in their matchups over the last few years. While that is the matchup most people are excited for, there’s more to this story that makes me think OKC can not only cover the spread but perhaps win the game.

Desmond Bane, the Grizzlies’ second-leading scorer, is sidelined for a few weeks with a sprained big toe, and Memphis doesn’t have a lot of big scorers after that. As a result, I think OKC will at the very least keep this one very close.

Staff Picks

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (231)

Because the Grizzlies are missing Desmond Bane, I think they are going to truly ugly up this game and turn it into more of a defensive battle. I still think a lot of points will be scored, especially since OKC has been flaming lately, but I do think there’s a bit of a cooling off, resulting in just barely missing the point total.

On the Season


Leave a Reply