Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Celtics (-9.0)
Trends Against The Spread
|21-15 (58%)||19-16-2 (54%)|
|11-8 (57%) at home||7-8-2 (46%) on the road|
|18-9 (66%) as underdog or pick||17-16-2 (51%) as favorite|
|8-4 (66%) as home underdog||5-8-2 (38%) as road favorite|
|Head To Head|
|1-0 (0%)||0-1 (0%)|
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 54% of the time this season.
- The Celtics have hit the over 50% of the time this season.
- The Thunder is 11-7-1 against the over at home this season.
- Boston is 5-12 against the over on the road this season.
The Thunder is 0-1 against the Celtics so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will Cover (+9.0)
OKC has struggled to cover the spread lately, doing so just once in the last four games, but the Thunder has a chance to get back on track tonight with such a big spread. The Celtics have the best record in the league right now, but they have won just 5 of their last 11 outings, so if OKC can keep Jayson Tatum and/or Jaylen Brown from going off, then there’s a good chance this could be a close game.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (233.5)
The Celtics have the highest-scoring offense in the league at 118.6 points per game, but that number drops to 114.0 when they’re on the road. OKC’s scoring average has slipped out of the NBA’s top 10, and with the number of injuries to the front court paired with the double teams being consistently sent Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s way, the Thunder has struggled at times to score. The only way I see a high-scoring game tonight is if it’s a blowout, and I don’t see that happening.
On the Season