Tip-Off: 7 PM CT
Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)
Total: 223.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | vs. | Heat |
| 38-23-1 (62%) | All | 30-30-2 (50%) |
| 21-9 (70%) at home | Location | 18-12-2 (60%) on the road |
| 28-18 (60%) as favorite | Status | 14-14 (50%) as underdog or pick |
| 18-7 (72%) | Location Status | 13-8 (61%) as road underdog |
| 1-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- OKC has hit the over 58% of the time this season.
- Miami has hit the over 38% of the time this season.
- The Thunder are 17-12-1 against the over at home this season.
- The Heat are 9-23 against the over on the road this season.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 110.7 | 110.0 | 46.6 | 37.6 | 41.9 | 26.0 | 12.9 | 7.4 | 3.4 | L1 | 7-3 |
| OKC | 121.0 | 113.4 | 50.1 | 39.5 | 41.5 | 26.8 | 12.5 | 8.3 | 6.7 | W1 | 8-2 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Adam Flager is OUT (G League — two-way).
Heat
- Tyler Herro is OUT (medial tendinitis in right foot).
- Kevin Love is OUT (bruised right heel).
- Josh Ricahrd is OUT (right shoulder dislocation).
- Dru Smith is OUT (not with team).
Series History
The Thunder are 1-0 against the Heat so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-8.5)
The Miami Heat are 5-2 since returning from the All-Star Break. Over the last few years, they have played mediocre basketball in the regular season only to turn up in the playoffs. Regardless of record, one thing is certain about Miami, especially lately: they play teams close. I think OKC gets the win tonight, but it could be as close as a one possession game, so I’m taking the Heat to cover the spread late.
Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (224.5)
Miami’s identity has been defense for a while, and that’s especially true lately. They don’t score a lot of points, but they don’t really have to because they’re so good at slowing teams down and keeping opponents from scoring. OKC has arguably the best offense in the league, and they’re going to have moments of scoring, but I do think the Thunder will play some sound defense as well to gut out a tougher, lower-scoring win tonight.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 33-27 | 30-29-1 | 23-37 |
| Zack | 43-19 | 34-27-1 | 29-33 |
| Craig | 36-15 | 26-24-1 | 18-33 |