Oklahoma City Thunder | Game #43 Preview: Miami Heat

The Thunder and the Heat just played in OKC last Sunday—a 124-112 win for the Thunder. Miami played OKC close in the first half, even leading by 5 at halftime, but the Thunder put together one of their patented third-quarter bursts to take over and cruise through the fourth period unscathed. OKC is near full health at this point in the season—Isaiah Hartenstein remains out—but Miami is dealing with a handful of key injuries ahead of tonight’s game.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Game #53 Preview: Miami Heat

OKC gets a chance to extend their gap on Wednesday night as they host the Miami Heat. Miami is still dealing with the fallout of the Jimmy Butler trade, and adjustment has not been easy. Butler only played about half of Miami’s games before his trade, primarily due to suspensions, but with him gone, the Heat are definitely different moving forward.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Game #63 Preview: Miami Heat

The Oklahoma City Thunder survived a 128-120 decision against the Portland Trail Blazers on Wednesday to wrap up a 4-game road trip with a 2-2 record. Currently the Thunder sits a half-game back from the Minnesota Timberwolves in the Western Conference standings, but they have an opportunity to make movement tonight as they host the Miami Heat.

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Thunder Against the Spread | Expect a Defensive Battle with the Heat

The Miami Heat are 5-2 since returning from the All-Star Break. Over the last few years, they have played mediocre basketball in the regular season only to turn up in the playoffs. Regardless of record, one thing is certain about Miami, especially lately: they play teams close. I think OKC gets the win tonight, but it could be as close as a one possession game, so I’m taking the Heat to cover the spread late.

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Thunder Against the Spread | Take OKC as a Slight Underdog Against Injured Heat

A few reasons make me think OKC is a good cover as a 4-point underdog against the Heat in Miami on Tuesday night. First off, Miami is depleted due to injury. Jimmy Butler is playing, but Kyle Lowry (left knee discomfort) and Duncan Robinson (surgery on right 2nd finger) are both out, while Bam Adebayo (right wrist contusion) and Tyler Herro (sore left achilles) are both questionable. Add to the fact that the Thunder has played really well lately, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is making a strong case to be not just an All-Star, but a starter for the Western Conference, so it looks like OKC has a good shot at getting a win in Miami.

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Oklahoma City Thunder | Game #28 Preview: Miami Heat

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander tied his career-high on Monday night against the Dallas Mavericks with 42 points, but the Oklahoma City Thunder was unable to close the gap late against the Mavs losing 121-114. After a 5-game road trip, OKC returns home on Wednesday night to host the Miami Heat.

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Thunder Against The Spread | The Over Looks Likely Against Miami

I got burned by Oklahoma City’s lackluster offensive performance against Brooklyn on Sunday night but I’m still approaching Monday with some confidence. Clearly if Jimmy Bultler isn’t able to go then that’s a huge advantage for the Thunder. Even if Butler plays though, Miami is only outscoring opponents on the road by an average of 3.2 points per game. OKC is getting beat by an average of 4.8 points per game at home and those averages would favor the Thunder against a 9-point spread.

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Thunder Against The Spread | Don’t Expect Another Miami Blowout

Let me throw one more key stat out to you. Oklahoma City is 16-13 against the spread on the second night of a back-to-back while Miami is 10-17-1 after a day off.

The Heat may very well win this game but it won’t be by more than six points.

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