Thunder Against the Spread | No Shai + No Dub = Thunder Double-Digit Underdog in Boston

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: TD Garden (Boston, Massachusetts)

Spread: Thunder (+11)

Total: 229

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatCeltics
42-32-1 (56%)All38-34-3 (52%)
19-18-1 (51%) on the roadLocation19-16 (54%) at home
11-7-1 (61%) as underdogStatus37-33-3 (52%) as favorite
7-5-1 (58%) as road underdogLocation Status19-16 (54%) as home favorite
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 56% of the time this season.
  • Boston has hit the over 52% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 21-16-1 against the over on the road this season.
  • The Celtics are 17-18 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC120.2113.049.939.041.927.012.68.36.6L17-3
BOS120.9109.448.638.946.526.712.06.66.5W28-2

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Ousmane Dieng is OUT (G League — on assignment).
  • Adam Flagler is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is OUT (right quad contusion).
  • Keyontae Johnson is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Olivier Sarr is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Jalen Williams is OUT (sprained left ankle).

Celtics

  • Jaylen Brown is QUESTIONABLE (sprained left hand).
  • JD Davison is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Drew Peterson is OUT (G League — two-way).
  • Neemias Queta is OUT (G league — two-way).
  • Jaden Springer is QUESTIONABLE (left knee tendinopathy)
  • Jordan Walsh is OUT (G League — on assignment).

Series History

The Thunder are 1-0 against the Boston Celtics so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+11)

OKC has not been an underdog often this season, and not by more than 6.5 points. Missing your two best scorers while playing a healthy version of the NBA’s best record will do that, though. OKC is good enough to keep it to within single digits, but this one definitely could get out of hand. I’m taking the Thunder to cover, though.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229)

When two of the league’s top offenses play each other, you would expect a lot of points, but both teams are pretty good defensively as well. If Boston turns this into a blowout, then I could see it going over on the point total, but I expect some fight from the Thunder, so I’m taking the under.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt41-3136-35-129-42
Zack51-2440-34-136-38
Craig44-1830-31-127-34

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