Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored Over Clippers Despite Missing Holmgren

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Total: 219

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Clippers
7-3 (70%)All6-4 (60%)
3-2 (60%) at homeLocation3-0 (100%) on the road
6-3 (66%) as favoriteStatus4-2 (66%) as underdog
3-2 (60%) as home favoriteLocation Status3-0 (100%) as road underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 5-5 (50%) against the over on the season.
  • Los Angeles is 3-7 (30%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 3-2 (60%) against the over at home.
  • The Clippers are 0-3 (0%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
LAC108.5106.346.737.745.825.017.28.34.6L16-4
OKC115.7102.946.135.544.425.512.412.07.2L18-2

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Adam Flagler (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (fractured left hand) is OUT.
  • Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (left ACL surgery recovery) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Clippers

  • Mo Bamba (left knee injury recover) is OUT.
  • Cam Christie (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
  • Trentyn Flowers (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Kawhi Leonard (right knee injury recovery) is OUT.
  • P.J. Tucker (not with team) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder is 1-0 against the Clippers so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-1 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)

No Chet Holmgren is certainly going to make this a more interesting game than the spread might show. Ivica Zubac has an opportunity to punish the Thunder in a number of ways—particularly when it comes to rebounding—but I believe in OKC’s ability to play fast enough to force him off the court, so I’m taking the Thunder’s depth to push them into a convincing win after a disappointing loss to the Golden State Warriors.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (219)

After a couple of games of giving up a decent chunk of points, the Thunder has to get back to shutting teams down. Playing without Chet Holmgren—with no true big man at all—is going to make that incredibly difficult, but going small will allow OKC to fly around and potentially force a lot of turnovers. I like the Thunder’s odds to turn this into a defensive game.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt7-35-55-5
Zack8-27-36-4
Craig7-27-1-16-3

One Reply to “Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored Over Clippers Despite Missing Holmgren”

Leave a Reply