Thunder Against the Spread | OKC is a Slight Favorite Against Warriors with Steph Curry Questionable to Play

Tip-Off: 9 PM CT

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)

Spread: Thunder (-2.5)

Total: 229.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Warriors
10-7 (58%)	All	10-7 (58%)
5-2 (71%) on the road	Location	4-3 (57%) at home
9-7 (56%) as favorite	Status	4-1 (80%) as underdog or pick
4-2 (66%) as road favorite	Location Status	1-0 (100%) as home underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 8-9 (47%) against the over on the season.
• Golden State is 10-7 (58%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 3-4 (42%) against the over on the road.
• The Warriors are 4-3 (47%) against the over at home.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	115.2	103.9	46.2	34.9	42.5	25.4	12.0	12.1	6.8	W2	6-4
GSW	117.7	109.9	46.6	38.1	48.9	30.3	14.5	9.2	5.5	L2	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (strained right hip) is OUT.
• Ousmane Dieng (small fracture in right ring finger) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left ACL surgery recovery) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Warriors

• Steph Curry (patellofemoral pain in bilateral knee) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jonathan Kuminga (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• De’Anthony Melton (left ACL sprain) is OUT.

Series History

The Thunder is 0-1 against the Warriors so far this season (0-1 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-2.5)

Last time these two teams met, Chet Holmgren went down early in the game with the injury that will keep him out until at least February, and the Thunder never could rally. This time, OKC has Isaiah Hartenstein on the floor, and I think he’s going to make a major difference against a team like the Warriors. With Steph Curry and Jonathan Kuminga both questionable, I like OKC’s odds to cover the small spread and even up the season series with Golden State.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (229.5)

OKC’s offense has found ways to go on runs at all the right times, and they’re going to need that to beat Golden State at the Chase Center. I anticipate plenty of defensive highlights, but another 4th quarter burst from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams would be nice. Last time these teams played, it was Steph Curry who popped off late. Let’s hope it’s the other way around this time. Either way, I’m taking the over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	11-5	8-8	9-7
Zack	13-4	10-7	10-7
Craig	12-4	12-3-1	10-6