Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored in Brooklyn Against Shorthanded Nets

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, New York)

Spread: Thunder (-17)

Total: 216

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Nets
36-22 (62%)	All	30-27 (52%)
15-13 (53%) on the road	Location	11-16 (40%) at home
35-21 (62%) as favorite	Status	26-22 (54%) as underdog or pick
14-12 (53%) as road favorite	Location Status	8-12 (40%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 31-26-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
• Brooklyn is 22-33-2 (40%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 13-14-1 (48%) against the over on the road.
• The Nets are 9-18 (33%) against the over at home

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	118.4	105.7	47.5	36.2	44.7	26.5	11.9	10.9	5.8	L1	8-2
BRK	104.8	110.8	44.0	34.6	41.0	24.7	15.5	7.8	4.4	L1	7-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained right great toe) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Nets

• Kendall Brown (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Nic Claxton (suspension) is OUT.
• Noah Clown (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Cameron Johnson (lower back contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
• De’Anthony Melton (left knee ACL tear) is OUT.
• D’Angelo Russell (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
• Cam Thomas (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
• Dariq Whitehead (G League — on assignment) is OUT.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 1-0 against the Nets (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-17)

OKC is coming off one of the worst meltdowns in modern NBA history, and that’s not an exaggeration. After allowing the Timberwolves to come back from down 25 in the fourth quarter, the Thunder—arguably the league’s best team—are going to want to make a statement, and what better way to do that than by absolutely destroying an undermanned team that has a small change of even making the play-in? The Nets will be without at least three starters, and the Thunder is essentially back to full strength, so I expect a solid bounce back from the Western Conference’s top team.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (216)

This is a tricky point total because while OKC has held opponents to under 100 points 18 times so far this season, they haven’t done that at all since January 12th. The Thunder has the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA, and Brooklyn has the 2nd-lowest, but this could be such a big blowout that it doesn’t matter how few points the Nets score. I feel pretty comfortable with the over on this one because I think OKC blows Brooklyn out early, which will mean rest for starters and some extra scoring in garbage time.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	40-16	33-22-1	23-32-1
Zack	46-12	41-17	28-30
Craig	44-12	38-16-2	27-28-1