Tip-Off: 10 PM CT
Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
Total: 222.5
Trends Against The Spread
| Thunder | at | Warriors |
| 10-11 (47%) | All | 10-11 (47%) |
| 5-6 (45%) on the road | Location | 6-3 (66%) at home |
| 10-11 (47%) as favorite | Status | 3-4 (42%) as underdog |
| 5-6 (45%) as road favorite | Location Status | 1-0 (100%) as home underdog |
| 1-0 (100%) | Head To Head | 0-1 (0%) |
Trends Against The Total
- Oklahoma City is 11-10 (52%) against the over on the season.
- Golden State is 12-9 (57%) against the over on the season.
- The Thunder is 6-5 (54%) against the over at home.
- The Warriors are 4-5 (44%) against the over on the road.
Team Stats
| TEAM | PTS | PA | FG% | 3P% | REB | AST | TOV | STL | BLK | STRK | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKC | 122.2 | 106.7 | 48.7 | 36.2 | 45.0 | 26.2 | 12.8 | 10.4 | 5.5 | W12 | 10-0 |
| GSW | 114.5 | 113.6 | 45.1 | 35.9 | 43.0 | 27.4 | 16.2 | 9.9 | 4.4 | W1 | 5-5 |
Injury Report
Thunder
- Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
- Branden Carlson (nasal fracture) is AVAILABLE.
- Alex Caruso (right quad soreness) is OUT.
- Luguentz Dort (strained right adductor) is OUT.
- Isaiah Hartenstein (strained right soleus) is OUT.
- Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
- Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
Golden State
- Jimmy Butler (left gluteal contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
- Stephen Curry (left quadriceps contusion) is OUT.
- Draymond Green (sprained right midfoot) is PROBABLE.
- Al Horford (right sciatic nerve irritation) is OUT.
- Trayce Jackson-Davis (patellar tendinitis in right knee) is QUESTIONABLE.
- De’Anthony Melton (left ACL surgery) is OUT.
- Alex Toohey (left knee injury management) is OUT.
Series History
OKC is 1-0 against Golden State so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).
Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-11.5)
OKC continues to deal with injuries to key players—Isaiah Hartenstein, Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso are all out tonight—but the Warriors are missing Stephen Curry, and Jimmy Butler is questionable to play. The Thunder seems to find a way to win regardless of who is healthy, usually on the back of Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, but it’s not always easy. Even though the Warriors are without Curry, and especially if Butler can play, I think this will be a single-digit game when the final horn sounds.
Why the Game Will Hit the Over (222.5)
Golden State’s offense is not what it used to be, and missing your top scorer is never a good recipe for putting up points, but they still hit a lot of threes, and that’s an area that could keep the Warriors in the game against one of the league’s top offenses and defenses. Because I think the game will be somewhat close, I’m taking the over on the point total.
Staff Picks
On the Season
| Name | Moneyline | Spread | Over/Under |
| Matt | 19-2 | 12-8 | 6-15 |
| Zack | 20-1 | 10-11 | 9-12 |
| Craig | 20-1 | 10-11 | 6-15 |
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