Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored at Home Against Grizzlies Despite Long Injury List

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 230.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Grizzlies
15-13 (53%)	All	13-15 (46%)
8-6 (57%) at home	Location	7-7 (50%) on the road
15-13 (53%) as favorite	Status	5-11 (31%) as underdog
8-6 (57%) as home favorite	Location Status	4-6 (40%) as road underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 15-13 (53%) against the over on the season.
• Memphis is 10-18 (35%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 8-6 (57%) against the over at home.
• The Grizzlies are 4-10 (28%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
MEM	114.7	115.7	45.2	34.4	46.4	28.9	14.8	7.7	4.6	L1	7-3
OKC	122.5	106.4	49.2	37.2	44.9	26.2	12.6	10.5	5.4	L1	8-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (sprained right middle finger) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (right soleus soreness) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (illness) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Aaron Wiggins (right adductor soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.

Grizzlies

• Brandon Clarke (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Zach Edey (left ankle stress reaction) is OUT.
• Ty Jerome (strained right calf) is OUT.
• John Konchar (left thumb UCL surgery recovery) is OUT.
• Ja Morant (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Scotty Pippen Jr. (left great toe surgery recovery) is OUT.
• Javon Small (left toe turf toe) is OUT.
• Vince Williams Jr. (left knee soreness) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 1-0 against Memphis so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-15.5)

Both teams are missing a lot of key players, but OKC still has the reigning MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. That alone should give Thunder fans confidence in the game, but with Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein and Jaylin Williams all out, OKC is without any of their primary bigs. Jaren Jackson could be a problem for OKC, but the Thunder has fared well in recent history when going small. With the Thunder’s backcourt depth, I feel pretty good about OKC’s chances to speed the game up, forcing turnovers, and turning defense into offense.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (230.5)

The Grizzlies have six guys playing tonight who average double digits in scoring, but that changes when you’re playing the league’s best defense. OKC is especially frustrating for opposing teams when playing at the Paycom this season, so I don’t see this one going over the point total unless the Grizzlies manage to keep it close.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	24-4	15-12	12-16
Zack	25-3	15-13	14-14
Craig	25-3	11-16-1	10-18