Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Slight Road Favorite in Rematch with Spurs

Tip-Off: 7:30 PM CT

Location: Frost Bank Center (San Antonio, Texas)

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

Total: 233.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Spurs
16-13 (55%)	All	15-13-1 (53%)
7-7 (50%) on the road	Location	8-3-1 (72%) at home
16-13 (55%) as favorite	Status	8-4 (66%) as underdog
7-7 (50%) as road favorite	Location Status	2-0 (100%) as home underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 15-14 (51%) against the over on the season.
• San Antonio is 15-14 (51%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 7-7 (50%) against the over on the road.
• The Spurs are 5-7 (41%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	122.3	106.2	49.2	37.2	44.9	26.0	12.6	10.6	5.4	W1	8-2
SAS	120.1	113.7	48.3	36.4	463	26.0	14.6	8.3	4.9	W6	8-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (concussion protocol) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Aaron Wiggins (right adductor soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.

Spurs

• Harrison Ingram (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• David Jones Garcia (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Stanley Umude (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Victor Wembanyama (left calf injury management) is QUESTIONABLE.

Series History

OKC is 0-1 against San Antonio so far this season (0-0 at home, 0-0 on the road, 0-1 at a neutral location).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-5.5)

I’m thinking this spread is heavily dependent upon the Thunder’s injury report from yesterday’s game against the Memphis Grizzlies. I fully anticipate at least a handful of OKC’s missing guys to be available, specifically Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein. After the way the last meeting between these two teams went, don’t be surprised if OKC comes out seeing red. I like Shai Gilgeous-Alexander continuing his dominance, I like OKC reminding everyone how good they really are, and I like the Thunder to cover.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (234.5)

I know this is the second game of a back-to-back for the Thunder, PLUS they had to travel to San Antonio from OKC last night, but with as good as these two defenses are, I don’t see this one going anywhere near this point total. Give me the under.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	25-4	16-13	13-16
Zack	26-3	16-13	15-14
Craig	26-3	12-16-1	11-18