Thunder Against the Spread | OKC a Solid Favorite Despite Tough Test in Cleveland

Tip-Off: 1:30 PM CT

Location: Rocket Arena (Cleveland, Ohio)

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Total: 234.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatCavaliers
21-22 (48%)All15-28 (34%)
9-11 (45%) on the roadLocation7-17 (29%) on the road
21-22 (48%) as favoriteStatus5-4 (55%) as underdog
9-11 (45%) as home favoriteLocation Status0-1 (0%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 22-21 (51%) against the over on the season.
  • Cleveland is 20-23 (46%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 10-10 (50%) against the over on the road.
  • The Cavs are 9-15 (37%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC121.1108.049.035.844.025.612.310.15.9L17-3
CLE120.0117.447.335.944.328.814.38.85.1W27-3

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
  • Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Cavaliers

  • Darius Garland (sprained right great big toe) is OUT.
  • Chris Livingston (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Sam Merrill (sprained right hand) is OUT.
  • Max Strus (Jones fracture left foot surgery) is OUT.
  • Luke Travers (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Dean Wade (left knee contusion) is AVAILABLE.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-6.5)

This is right about where I had the spread in my mind, and as much as I want to take OKC to rebound from the Miami loss with a nice win in Cleveland, it’s hard to justify when the Cavs have very capable rebounders, and that’s what killed the Thunder against the Heat. OKC is better in the clutch, which is why I think a close game tips the Thunder’s direction, but I think Cleveland just barely covers the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (234.5)

Two of the league’s highest-scoring teams going head-to-head is likely to end in a lot of points. OKC followed up two incredible defensive performances with a mediocre one against Miami. The Cavs aren’t a great defensive team, but with their size, they are likely to hurt p the Thunder down low. I can see Cleveland going cold late, but I won’t be surprised if this point total goes north of 240, so I’m taking the over.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt35-821-2220-23
Zack35-823-2021-22
Craig35-816-26-114-29

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