Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored On the Road Against the Lakers As Jalen Williams Makes Return

Tip-Off: 9 PM CT

Location: Crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, California)

Spread: Thunder (-6.5)

Total: 223.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Lakers
25-28 (47%)	All	29-22 (56%)
12-13 (48%) on the road	Location	13-9 (59%) at home
25-28 (47%) as favorite	Status	9-12 (42%) as underdog
12-13 (48%) as road favorite	Location Status	3-4 (42%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 29-24 (54%) against the over on the season.
• Los Angeles is 27-24 (52%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 15-10(60%) against the over on the road.
• The Lakers are 14-8 (63%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	119.9	107.9	48.7	36.0	43.7	25.6	12.4	9.9	5.8	L2	5-5
LAL	116.1	115.8	49.9	35.0	41.3	25.2	15.1	8.2	4.1	W3	7-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (strained abdominal) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.

Lakers

• Deandre Ayton (right knee soreness) is PROBABLE.
• Luka Doncic (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
• Adou Theiro (sprained right MCL) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-6.5)

The Lakers have been pretty unimpressive for a while now, but they are currently riding a 3-game win streak. OKC has lost two in a row, and I don’t see them losing a third consecutive game. OKC is missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, but the Lakers are without Luka Doncic. Plus, Jalen Williams is back in action after missing the last 10 games. I like OKC’s tenacity as the key to this one, so I won’t be surprised if the Thunder wins by double digits.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (223.5)

The Lakers have won games via scoring a ton of points, NOT by getting stops. I certainly don’t expect them to win, but I do think it will be close, at least through halftime. I expect a decently high-scoring game, so I’m taking the over on this point total with confidence.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	41-12	25-28	25-28
Zack	41-12	27-26	27-26
Craig	41-11	18-33-1	20-32