Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Sees Heavy Line Over Nets Despite No SGA, JDub

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

Total: 212.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Nets
27-29 (48%)All23-29 (44%)
13-16 (44%) at homeLocation12-16 (42%) on the road
27-29 (48%) as favoriteStatus16-15 (51%) as underdog
13-16 (44%) as home favoriteLocation Status9-9 (50%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 31-25 (55%) against the over on the season.
  • Brooklyn is 25-29 (46%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 14-15 (48%) against the over at home.
  • The Nets are 11-16 (40%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
BKN107.2114.944.434.240.625.415.67.64.2L23-7
OKC119.7108.048.736.243.725.512.59.85.7L15-5

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (strained abdominal) is OUT.
  • Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal) is OUT.
  • Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is QUESTIONABLE.

Nets

  • Nic Claxton (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
  • Tyson Etienne (G League – two-way) is OUT.
  • Chaney Johnson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • E.J. Liddell (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Josh Minott (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
  • Ben Saraf (G League – on assignment) is OUT.
  • Ziaire Williams (personal reasons) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-17.5)

This is near the largest spread of the season for the Thunder, and they’re missing Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Jalen Williams. I know Brooklyn is bad, and they are coming off a 112-84 loss to the Cavaliers in Cleveland last night, but there may be some rust from the All-Star Break that OKC needs to work out. While I do expect a decent win, I think Brooklyn ends up covering this massive spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (212.5)

The Nets are pretty bad, and they’re not especially focused on winning at this point in the season, but I think the Thunder could put up some big points, even with SGA and JDub out.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt43-1226-2925-30
Zack43-1329-2729-27
Craig42-1319-35-122-33

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