Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Takes on Bulls in Chicago as Double-Digit Favorite Despite No SGA, IHart

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: United Center (Chicago, Illinois)

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

Total: 227.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Bulls
31-31 (50%)	All	27-34 (44%)
16-14 (53%) on the road	Location	16-17 (48%) at home
28-29 (48%) as favorite	Status	20-17 (54%) as underdog
14-13 (51%) as road favorite	Location Status	10-9 (52%) as home underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 35-27 (56%) against the over on the season.
• Chicago is 29-32 (47%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 19-11 (63%) against the over on the road.
• The Bulls are 13-20 (39%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	119.2	107.9	48.4	36.3	43.9	25.6	12.7	9.8	5.7	W2	7-3
CHI	115.8	120.1	46.9	36.6	44.6	28.9	15.1	7.6	5.1	W1	1-9

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (strained lower back) is OUT.
• Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (strained abdominal injury management) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (right soleus injury management) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (strained abdominal; sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Bulls

• Zach Collins (right 1st toe surgery) is OUT.
• Noa Essengue (left shoulder surgery) is OUT.
• Jaden Ivey (left patellofemoral pain syndrome) is OUT.
• Anfernee Simons (fractured left ulnar styloid) is OUT.
• Jalen Smith (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Patrick Williams (strained right quadricep) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-10.5)

This line is several points closer than it would be under normal circumstances, but with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Isaiah Hartenstein sitting out on the first night of a back-to-back, it makes sense. Even without those guys out—and Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell still awaiting return—I’m a big fan of the Thunder covering this one. Chicago finally ended their 11-game losing streak on Sunday, but the Bulls have been blown out plenty in the last month, and I expect that to happen again tonight.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (227.5)

Chicago’s offense is middle of the pack in scoring, and OKC’s defense has really played well lately. While I do expect the Thunder to win by double digits, I don’t think this will be a shootout, so this point total seems oddly high to me. I wouldn’t be surprised if this game stayed under 220.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	47-14	27-34	26-35
Zack	48-14	31-31	31-31
Craig	46-15	23-37-1	25-36