Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heads Into Brooklyn As Monster Favorite Over Nets

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: Barclays Center (Brooklyn, New York)

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

Total: 215.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Nets
32-37 (46%)	All	30-37-1 (44%)
16-17 (48%) on the road	Location	15-17-1 (46%) at home
29-36 (44%) as favorite	Status	26-36-1 (41%) as underdog
14-16 (46%) as road favorite	Location Status	11-16-1 (40%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 36-33 (52%) against the over on the season.
• Brooklyn is 31-37 (45%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 19-14 (57%) against the over at home.
• The Nets are 18-15 (54%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	118.4	107.7	48.0	35.9	43.9	25.4	12.5	9.7	5.5	W9	9-1
BRK	106.6	115.6	44.4	34.2	40.2	25.3	15.9	7.7	4.4	L4	2-8

Injury Report

Thunder

• Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Branden Carlson (strained lower back) is OUT.
• Luguentz Dort (rest) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (left soleus injury management) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (left hip contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Nets

• Egor Demin (left plantar fascia injury management) is OUT.
• Terrance Man (left Achilles soreness) is AVAILABLE.
• Michael Porter Jr. (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
• Ben Saraf (left foot soreness) is OUT.
• Day’Ron Sharpe (UCL tear in left thumb) is OUT.
• Nolan Traore (right eye abrasion) is AVAILABLE.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-19.5)

OKC has seen a spread in the 18-21 points range just three times this season without covering once. I think this could finally be their time to do so, though, as Brooklyn appears to be entirely disinterested in winning. The Nets have lost by 20 points in 14 of their 51 losses. Overall, 1 out of every 5 games they play ends in a loss of 20 points or greater. The Thunder is deep enough that, regardless of who plays major minutes, this one should end in a blowout win.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (215.5)

OKC’s defense continued its mean streak last night, holding the Orlando Magic to 108 points. That’s the sixth time in the last seven games that a Thunder opponent has been held to 108 points or fewer. Brooklyn has the lowest-scoring offense in the league, averaging just 106.6 points per game, and I think the Thunder may end up holding them to somewhere around 90. I like the under in this one.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	54-14	31-37	30-38
Zack	55-14	32-37	34-35
Craig	53-15	24-43-1	29-39