Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heads to Philly as Heavy Favorite in JDub’s Return to Action

Tip-Off: 6 PM CT

Location: Xfinity Mobile Arena (Philadelphia, Pennsylvania)

Spread: Thunder (-16)

Total: 226.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Sixers
33-38 (46%)	All	37-34 (52%)
17-18 (48%) on the road	Location	16-20 (44%) at home
30-37 (44%) as favorite	Status	14-18 (43%) as underdog
15-17 (46%) as road favorite	Location Status	6-8 (42%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 37-34 (52%) against the over on the season.
• Philadelphia is 37-34 (52%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 20-15 (57%) against the over at home.
• The Sixers are 18-16 (50%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	118.7	107.5	48.1	36.0	44.1	25.5	12.6	9.7	5.5	W11	10-0
PHI	115.8	116.1	46.0	34.6	43.3	24.5	13.8	9.2	5.7	W2	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ajay Mitchell (league suspension) is OUT.
• Payton Sandfort (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.

Sixers

• Dominick Barlow (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Johnni Broome (right knee surgery recovery) is OUT.
• Joel Embiid (strained right oblique) is OUT.
• Paul George (league suspension) is OUT.
• Quentin Grimes (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Tyrese Maxey (strained right finger tendon) is OUT.
• Kelly Oubrey Jr. (sprained left elbow) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-16)

Ajay Mitchell received a one-game suspension for his involvement in the scuffle with the Washington Wizards on Saturday, but Jalen Williams is back in action. On the other hand, the Sixers are missing their top three scorers—Tyrese Maxey, Joel Embiid, and Paul George—which is why the Thunder is such a heavy favorite. OKC is at full strength for the first time in what seems like forever, and even though this is the fourth game in a five-game road trip, I like the Thunder to cover.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (226)

While I do expect a big win from the Thunder, I don’t think it will be a high-scoring game. OKC’s defense should be able to limit the Sixers on offense, even if VJ Edgecombe is one of the league’s top rookies. Philly is towards the bottom in the NBA in three-point shooting, and if the Sixers can’t hit shots from outside, they’re going to have a very difficult time putting points on the board.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	56-14	32-38	31-39
Zack	57-14	34-37	35-36
Craig	55-15	25-44-1	29-41