Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heads into SEGABABA in Portland as Underdog Against Blazers

Tip-Off: 10 PM CT

Location: Moda Center (Portland, Oregon)

Spread: Thunder (+2.5)

Total: 224.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Blazers
7-4 (63%)	All	6-4 (60%)
3-3 (50%) on the road	Location	2-2 (50%) at home
1-1 (50%) as underdog	Status	3-2 (60%) as favorite
1-1 (50%) as road underdog	Location Status	1-1 (50%) as home favorite
0-1 (0%)	Head-to-Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 3-8 (27%) against the over for the season.
• Portland is 4-6 (40%) against the over for the season.
• The Thunder are 1-5 (16%) against the over on the road.
• The Blazers are 0-4 (0%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	111.4	105.9	45.5	35.0	47.1	22.8	13.1	7.7	5.7	L1	7-3
POR	119.7	112.7	47.0	35.9	45.1	26.2	16.1	7.0	4.7	W1	7-3

Injury Report

Thunder

• Chet Holmgren (right knee patellar tendinitis) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right knee surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (left shoulder labral tear) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (left ankle fracture) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (lower back spasms) is OUT.

Blazers

• Vit Krejci (fractured left ankle) is OUT.
• Ja Morant (strained left hamstring) is OUT.
• Shaedon Sharpe (right meniscus surgery) is OUT.
• John Tonje (G League — two-way) is OUT.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (+2.5)

After an embarrassing 3rd quarter last night against the Blazers, the Thunder weren’t anywhere close to covering the spread or even winning the game. I expected OKC to split the back-to-back, and since they lost last night in the way they did, perhaps I’m more hopeful than I am expectant that they’ll hand Portland a loss. The Blazers got hot from three and ran away with the game, and I’m sure Mark Daigneault will adjust. I like OKC to return the favor to Portland and move on with the West Coast road trip with a convincing win against the Blazers.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (224.5)

Even though Portland got hot from downtown last night, the point total was still just 226. Yes, it was a blowout win, and no, I don’t expect the Thunder to lose again tonight, but I’m still taking the under on tonight’s point total. I do expect OKC to win, and it wouldn’t surprise me if it was by double digits, but it will be via hard-nosed defense as opposed to excessive shotmaking.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	6-5	3-8	5-5
Zack	8-3	6-5	6-5
Craig	7-4	5-6	5-6