Oklahoma City Thunder

Thunder Against The Spread | Here’s One Reason For Hope Against Philadelphia

M. Hofeld

matthofeld

Tip-Off: 8:00 PM CT

Location: Chesapeake Energy Arena (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: 76ers (-11.5)

Total: 217

76ers/Thunder Trends Against The Spread

76ersThunder
All
28-22-2 (56%)25-27 (48%)
Location
12-13-2 (48%) on the road10-17 (37%) at home
Status
22-17-1 (56%) as a favorite23-27 (46%) as an underdog or pick
Location Status
10-8-1 (55%) as a road favorite9-17 (34%) as a home underdog
Head To Head
0-0 (0%)0-0 (0%)

Cavs/Thunder Trends Against The Total

OKC is 26-25-1 against the over this season.

Philadelphia is 25-27 against the over this season.

The Thunder are hitting the over 63% of the time at home.

The 76ers are hitting the over 37% of the time on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%REBASTBLKSTLSTRKL10
PHI113.7109.447.646.123.26.28.8L16-4
 OKC105.7112.044.544.922.64.66.8L52-8

Key Players

Tobias Harris has been a steady constant for Philadelphia this season with an average of 20.6 points per game on 52% shooting from the floor. Ben Simmons is dishing out 7.2 assists per game and Dwight Howard has been solid with an average of 8.2 rebounds per night. Danny Green could also quietly have a good night for the 76ers as well.

Oklahoma City’s injury report has been the most constant factor with the organization of late. Aleksej Pokusevski doesn’t seem to have an injury designation tonight so he and point guard Theo Maledon will be two guys to keep an eye on for OKC.

Series History

First meeting of the season.

Why The Thunder Won’t Cover (+10)

If you’re looking for a ray of hope tonight then consider this. Philadelphia is only covering the spread 22% of the time this season in the second game of a back-to-back. That’s pretty much it. If you want to hang your hat on that factor then so be it.

Oklahoma City losing eight of the last night against the spread, including five in a row now, would indicate that thinking of Philly as nothing less than a cover tonight is a bad idea. Once solid following a day off, the Thunder are now hovering at 50% following a day of rest. Everything for OKC is trending negatively against the spread right now and there’s no reason to think it’ll change tonight.

Staff Picks

Why The Game Will Hit The Over (217)

Once again this is the real challenge for tonight in my opinion. Philadelphia only hits the over in the second night of a back-to-back 44% of the time and OKC only hits it 46% of the time coming off a day of rest. That said, the Thunder are going over the total 63% of the time at home this season and have done so in four of the last five games. With no emphasis on the defensive end of the floor right now it’s really hard to pick the under.

On The Season

We finally nailed both the spread and the over/under with the Cleveland game. It’s been a while since we’ve been there but hopefully we can stay there for a while.

Against the Spread: 10-15 Last Pick: Cleveland (-3.5 ) at OKC

Over/Under: 14-11 Last Pick: OKC/Cleveland over (218)

You can follow all of my NBA picks here.

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