Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored in Western Conference Battle with Suns

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Total: 228.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Suns
8-4 (66%)All4-8 (33%)
4-3 (57%) at homeLocation3-3 (50%) on the road
7-4 (63%) as favoriteStatus2-3 (40%) as underdog
4-3 (57%) as home favoriteLocation Status1-2 (33%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)Head To Head0-0 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 6-6 (50%) against the over on the season.
  • Phoenix is 8-4 (66%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 4-3 (57%) against the over at home.
  • The Suns are 5-1 (83%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Last Season’s Stats)

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
PHO114.3113.846.437.443.926.513.27.75.5L18-2
OKC116.4103.846.536.142.025.511.812.77.0W28-2

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Alex Caruso (right hip soreness) is OUT.
  • Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
  • Isaiah Hartenstein (fractured left hand) is OUT.
  • Chet Holmgren (fractured right iliac wing) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (left ACL surgery recovery) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Suns

  • Grayson Allen (right hamstring soreness) is OUT.
  • Bradley Beal (strained left calf) is OUT.
  • Kevin Durant (strained left calf) is OUT.
  • Collin Gillespie (fractured right ankle) is OUT.
  • Jusuf Nurkic (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.

Series History

The Thunder went 3-0 against the Suns so far this season (1-0 at home, 2-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-7.5)

Both the Thunder and the Suns are dealing with injuries, but I think Phoenix’s are worse considering how these teams matchups. Is Jusuf Nurkic plays tonight, he could be a major factor for the Suns, but with no Kevin Durant or Bradley Beal, the Thunder have a chance to cause problems in the backcourt like they have been so good at doing so far this season.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)

OKC has proved all season long that they really don’t need to score a lot to win games, and Phoenix is missing two of their top scorers. I do think the game will be kind of close, at least early, but I don’t think it will feature a lot of points on the board for either team.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt8-36-56-5
Zack10-28-47-5
Craig9-28-2-17-4

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