Thunder Against the Spread | Expect Another High-Scoring Game in Memphis as Thunder are Favorites Against Grizzlies

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: FedEx Forum (Memphis, Tennessee)

Spread: Thunder (-9)

Total: 250.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Memphis
38-24 (61%)	All	35-25-1 (58%)
17-14 (54%) on the road	Location	18-13 (58%) at home
37-23 (61%) as favorite	Status	12-8-1 (60%) as underdog or pick
16-13 (55%) as road favorite	Location Status	3-1 (75%) as home underdog
2-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-2 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 35-26-1 (57%) against the over on the season.
• Memphis is 39-21-1 (65%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 16-14-1 (53%) against the over on the road.
• The Grizzlies are 17-13-1 (56%) against the over at home

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	119.6	107.0	47.8	36.6	44.7	26.9	11.9	10.8	5.7	W4	5-5
MEM	123.3	117.0	48.4	36.8	47.5	29.2	16.4	8.8	5.9	L3	3-7

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Alex Ducas (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Alex Caruso (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (nasal fractured) is AVAILABLE.
• Isaiah Joe (lower back soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Dillon Jones (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained right great toe) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Grizzlies

• Santi Aldama (right calf soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Jay Huff (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Jaren Jackson Jr. (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Yuki Kawamura (right hamstring soreness) is OUT.
• John Konchar (right knee soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Ja Morant (right deltoid contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Scottie Pipper Jr. (left toe soreness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Zyon Pullin (right patellar tendon surgery recovery) is OUT.
• Cam Spencer (G League — two-way) is OUT.

Series History

So far this season, the Thunder is 2-0 against the Grizzlies (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-9)

The Grizzlies are at the least missing Jaren Jackson Jr., and they are likely to be missing several other key guys. And while Memphis has lost 4 of their last 6 games, they’ve given themselves a chance, losing by no more than 6 and their last 3 by a single possession. OKC’s lack of defensive focus has been an issue at the start of games, so unless they dramatically shift that in Memphis, they could struggle with the Grizzlies. I do think OKC wins, but I’m expecting a single-digit decision.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (250.5)

Memphis has the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the entire NBA, and the Thunder has averaged the most points since returning from the All-Star Break. Put those two factors together, and I smell a high-scoring contest. Add to it that the Thunder and the Grizzlies are bottom 3 in the NBA in points allowed since the All-Star Break, and there really is no telling how high this point total could go.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	44-16	36-23-1	25-34-1
Zack	50-12	44-18	31-31
Craig	48-12	42-16-2	28-31-1