Thunder Against the Spread | After Blowout Win Over Grizzlies in Game 1, OKC Heavily Favored Again in Game 2

Tip-Off: 6:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center

Spread: Thunder (-14.5)

Total: 228.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Grizzlies
57-27 (67%)	All	43-41-1 (51%)
31-12 (72%) at home	Location	22-20-1 (52%) on the road
55-26 (67%) as favorite	Status	14-18-1 (43%) as underdog
31-12 (72%) as home favorite	Location Status	10-12-1 (45%) as road underdog
5-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-5 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 45-38-1 (54%) against the over on the season.
• Memphis is 49-35-1 (58%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 25-18 (58%) against the over at home.
• The Grizzlies are 20-20-1 (50%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats (Playoffs)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
MEM	80.0	131.0	34.4	17.6	43.0	18.0	24.0	7.0	4.0	L1	5-5
OKC	131.0	80.0	50.5	35.4	54.0	36.0	16.0	12.0	8.0	W5	8-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Grizzlies

• Brandon Clarke (strained PCL in right knee) is OUT.
• GG Jackson (personal reasons) is OUT.
• Jaylen Wells (fractured right wrist) is OUT.

Series History

OKC leads Memphis 1-0 in the first round of the Western Conference Playoffs (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road). The Thunder went 4-0 against the Grizzlies in the regular season (2-0 at home, 2-0 on the road). OKC has defeated Memphis in 9 straight games, including 7 straight at the Paycom Center.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-14.5)

OKC has had Memphis’ number for a while now, and after they manhandled the Grizzlies in Game 1, expect the Thunder to bring the same energy in Game 2. Ja Morant was probably right in his postgame media session when he said, “We’ll never play this bad again,” but they have a lot of work to do to stand a chance in this one. The Thunder proved that they want to keep their foot on the gas, regardless of the score, and that should be the expectation as well for Game 2.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)

OKC’s defense is the key to the Thunder making it to the NBA Finals, and they were as suffocating as they have been all season when they held the Grizzlies to just 80 points in Game 1. Memphis had one of the top-scoring offenses in the NBA in the regular season, so they will surely bounce back in some fashion, but I still don’t see this one going over the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	62-19	50-30-1	37-44-1
Zack	69-15	60-24	43-41
Craig	66-16	59-21-2	40-41-1