Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Just a Single-Digit Road Favorite Over the Grizzlies in Game 3

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: FedExForum (Memphis, Tennessee)

Spread: Thunder (-8.5)

Total: 227

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Grizzlies
58-27 (68%)	All	43-42-1 (51%)
26-15 (63%) on the road	Location	21-21 (50%) at home
56-26 (68%) as favorite	Status	14-19-1 (42%) as underdog
24-14 (63%) as road favorite	Location Status	4-6 (40%) as home underdog
6-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-6 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 45-39-1 (53%) against the over on the season.
• Memphis is 49-36-1 (57%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 20-20-1 (50%) against the over on the road.
• The Grizzlies are 23-18-1 (56%) against the over at home.

Team Stats (Playoffs)

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	124.5	89.5	46.8	34.4	54.5	28.5	11.5	10.0	8.0	W6	8-2
MEM	89.5	124.5	38.6	24.6	42.5	17.5	19.5	5.0	4.5	L2	5-5

Injury Report

Thunder

• Ousmane Dieng (strained left calf) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (left knee surgery) is OUT.

Grizzlies

• Brandon Clarke (strained PCL in right knee) is OUT.
• GG Jackson (personal reasons) is OUT.
• Jaylen Wells (fractured right wrist) is OUT.

Series History

OKC leads Memphis 2-0 in the first round of the Western Conference Playoffs (2-0 at home, 0-0 on the road). The Thunder went 4-0 against the Grizzlies in the regular season (2-0 at home, 2-0 on the road). OKC has defeated Memphis in 10 straight games, including 3 in a row at FedExForum.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-8.5)

Despite convincing wins in Games 1 and 2, the Thunder cannot afford to get complacent at this point. The Grizzlies are sure to improve even more after taking another tough loss in Oklahoma City, and being in Memphis will certainly help that. The Grizzlies were hardly better at home than on the road in the regular season, but the Playoffs are a new animal. The Thunder hasn’t shot the ball all that well through the first two games, but even if they don’t pop off in Game 3, expect the defense to be the key to another big win.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (227)

Speaking of defense, the Grizzlies have struggled to score against the Thunder, and even if Memphis hits a few extra shots compared to the first two games, I don’t seeing it making a big enough difference in the point total to go over. OKC is playing with a tenacity that isn’t going to disappear out of nowhere, and that’s going to make the difference, resulting in another night of a lower score.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	63-19	51-30-1	37-45-1
Zack	70-15	61-24	44-41
Craig	67-16	60-21-2	41-41-1