Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Looks to Bounce Back As a Massive Home Favorite Against Clippers

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-17.5)

Total: 220.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thundervs.Clippers
14-12 (53%)All8-18 (30%)
7-6 (53%) at homeLocation7-8 (46%) on the road
14-12 (53%) as favoriteStatus6-7 (56%) as underdog
7-6 (53%) as home favoriteLocation Status6-5 (54%) as road underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • Oklahoma City is 14-12 (53%) against the over on the season.
  • Los Angeles is 13-13 (50%) against the over on the season.
  • The Thunder is 7-6 (53%) against the over at home.
  • The Clippers are 8-7 (53%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
LAC111.3116.847.035.340.623.715.78.74.3L41-9
OKC123.1106.349.737.644.826.512.810.35.3L19-1

Injury Report

Thunder

  • Isaiah Hartenstein (right soleus injury management) is OUT.
  • Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
  • Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.

Clippers

  • Bradley Beal (fractured left hip) is OUT.
  • James Harden (left calf contusion) is OUT.
  • Derrick Jones Jr. (sprained right knee) is OUT.
  • Yanic Konan Niederhauser (left knee soreness) is OUT.
  • Chris Paul (not with team) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 1-0 against Los Angeles so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-17.5)

The last time these two teams met was a 126-107 victory for the Thunder in Los Angeles, and Thursday night’s matchup may have a very similar result. OKC has a completely healthy backcourt, and though the Clippers are without James Harden and Derrick Jones Jr., Kawhi Leonard will play in this one after missing the first time around. Isaiah Hartenstein and Jaylin Williams are both sitting for the Thunder, and Ivica Zubac can be a tough matchup for any big man in the league, so Chet Holmgren will have quite the matchup. Still, I like OKC to rebound with a monster victory after dropping just their second loss of the season in the NBA Cup Semifinal on Saturday against the San Antonio Spurs.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (220.5)

The Clippers struggle to score, and without Harden, it will be even tougher. I expect OKC to come in with a renewed focus after the loss to the Spurs—and 4 days of rest to think about it—which means intense defense should be on the menu. I like the Thunder to hold LA to around 100 points.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt23-314-1110-16
Zack24-213-1313-13
Craig24-211-14-18-18

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