Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Hosts Hornets as Heavy Favorite Coming Off Loss in Phoenix

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-15.5)

Total: 234.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Hornets
19-17 (52%)	All	20-15 (57%)
11-8 (57%) at home	Location	10-8 (55%) on the road
19-17 (52%) as favorite	Status	18-12 (60%) as underdog
11-8 (57%) as home favorite	Location Status	10-6 (62%) as road underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 18-18 (50%) against the over on the season.
• Charlotte is 14-21 (40%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 8-8 (50%) against the over at home.
• The Hornets are 7-11 (38%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
CHA	115.8	118.5	45.6	36.7	44.5	26.4	15.6	7.0	4.7	W1	5-5
OKC	121.9	107.2	49.4	36.7	44.2	26.0	12.6	10.2	5.4	L1	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Alex Caruso (lower back soreness) is OUT.
• Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.

Hornets

• Moussa Diabate (sprained right wrist) is PROBABLE.
• Ryan Kalkbrenner (sprained left elbow) is OUT.
• Kon Knueppel (right hip contusion) is PROBABLE.
• Brandon Miller (left knee contusion) is PROBABLE.
• Mason Plumlee (right groin surgery) is OUT.
• Tidjane Salaun (sprained left ankle) is PROBABLE.
• KJ Simpso (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Grant Williams (right knee surgery) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 1-0 against Charlotte so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-15.5)

The Hornets are not great and have won just three of their last eight games, but they have played some pretty close games, with only one of those losses being a true blowout. OKC definitely can run Charlotte off the floor, but having to travel home for the second game of a back-to-back makes it a little more difficult. While I do think Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a much better shooting night than he did in Phoenix last night, I think the Hornets just barely cover, probably down the stretch.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (234.5)

Even if the Thunder ends up covering the spread, Charlotte is going to struggle to score as long as OKC keeps playing defense like they can. It wouldn’t shock me to see the Hornets held to below 100 points, even though that is unlikely. While the Thunder is bound to perform better than they did against the Suns yesterday, there is still plenty of difficulty involved when having to travel for a SEGABABA, so I’m taking the under on this one with some pretty high confidence.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	31-5	19-17	15-21
Zack	30-6	20-16	18-18
Craig	30-6	12-23-1	12-24