Thunder Against the Spread | Take OKC to Cover at Phoenix

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Footprint Center (Phoenix, Arizona)

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

Total: 233.5

Trends Against The Spread

ThunderatSuns
37-21-1 (34%)All25-34-1 (42%)
16-12-1 (57%) on the roadLocation13-19 (40%) at home
27-16 (62%) as favoriteStatus5-8 (38%) as underdog or pick
9-9 (50%) as road favoriteLocation Status0-3 (0%) as home underdog
1-0 (100%)Head To Head0-1 (0%)
  • OKC has hit the over 59% of the time this season.
  • Phoenix has hit the over 46% of the time this season.
  • The Thunder are 17-11-1 against the over on the road this season.
  • The Suns are 17-15 against the over at home this season.

Team Stats

TEAMPTSPAFG%3P%REBASTTOVSTLBLKSTRKL10
OKC121.2113.350.239.641.727.012.68.16.7L17-3
PHO117.2114.449.437.643.826.514.97.56.1L16-4

Series History

The Thunder is 1-0 against the Suns so far this season (1-0 at home, 0-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-5.5)

For just the fourth time all season, the Suns are an underdog in Phoenix, and there are several reasons why I like OKC to cover. For one, the Thunder is coming off two days of rest, while the Suns are playing in the second game of a back-to-back. OKC obviously covers more often than not after rest, but Phoenix is just 5-5 at covering the spread in SEGABABAs. Add to it that the Thunder is almost completely healthy while the Suns are dealing with a few minor injuries, and I like OKC’s odds to win and cover the spread.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (233.5)

Both of these teams have incredibly offensive talents, and I think that’s enough to expect this one to have some serious scoring. I don’t anticipate anything crazy, but this point total seems a little on the low side for me. OKC has one of the top defenses in the NBA, and Phoenix is in the top half, but between Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Kevin Durant, and Devin Booker, anybody can pop off for a 30-piece easy. And that’s not even mentioning Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren, who have been scoring in bursts all season long. Give me the over on the point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

NameMoneylineSpreadOver/Under
Matt31-2628-28-121-36
Zack41-1833-25-127-32
Craig35-1425-23-117-32

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