Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Heavily Favored in Home SEGABABA Against Depleted Hawks

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-16.5)

Total: 236.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Hawks
17-15 (53%)	All	15-18 (45%)
10-7 (58%) at home	Location	10-7 (58%) on the road
17-15 (53%) as favorite	Status	10-5 (66%) as underdog
10-7 (58%) as home favorite	Location Status	5-2 (71%) as road underdog
1-0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-1 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 17-15 (53%) against the over on the season.
• Atlanta is 19-14 (57%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 9-8 (52%) against the over at home.
• The Hawks are 11-6 (64%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
ATL	118.8	120.1	48.3	36.9	41.5	31.0	15.3	9.0	4.9	L6	2-8
OKC	121.5	107.3	49.2	36.8	44.4	25.8	12.6	10.3	5.3	W1	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (left shin contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is QUESTIONABLE.

Hawks

• N’Faly Dante (torn ACL in right knee) is OUT.
• Nikola Djurisic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Caleb Houstan (G League — two-way) is AVAILABLE.
• Jalen Johnson (illness) is OUT.
• Eli John Ndiaye (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Kristaps Porzingis (illness) is OUT.
• Malik Williams (G League — two-way) is AVAILABLE.
• Trae Young (right quad contusion) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 1-0 against Atlanta so far this season (0-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-16.5)

A lot of factors are contributing to this spread, so it’s a hard pick. Atlanta is riding a 6-game losing streak, will be without Jalen Johnson, and is possibly missing Trae Young as well. Meanwhile, OKC is coming off a home game yesterday afternoon and could be missing a handful of guys as well. The Thunder should win this one by double digits, but the Hawks are a good enough team to keep it reasonable, so I’m taking Atlanta to just barely cover, even if it is late in the game.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (236.5)

OKC’s defense finally managed to lock in during the second half against the 76ers yesterday, and because it was an afternoon game, I’m thinking that extra few hours of rest will help out with tonight’s matchup. This just seems like too many points for me, even if Atlanta does manage to keep it pretty close. I’m taking the under.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	27-5	17-15	15-17
Zack	27-5	17-15	16-16
Craig	27-5	12-19-1	11-21