Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Now a Double-Digit Road Favorite Against Warriors With No Steph, Jimmy, or Draymond

Tip-Off: 9 PM CT

Location: Chase Center (San Francisco, California)

Spread: Thunder (-10.5)

Total: 228.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	at	Warriors
18-16 (52%)	All	16-18 (47%)
7-8 (46%) on the road	Location	8-6 (57%) at home
18-16 (52%) as favorite	Status	5-5 (50%) as underdog
7-8 (46%) as road favorite	Location Status	1-1 (50%) as home underdog
2-0 (100%)	Head To Head	0-2 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 18-15 (52%) against the over on the season.
• Golden State is 20-14 (58%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 8-7 (53%) against the over on the road.
• The Warriors are 8-6 (57%) against the over at home.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	122.1	107.5	49.4	36.7	44.4	25.9	12.7	10.4	5.5	W3	6-4
GSW	115.6	113.4	45.6	36.3	43.6	28.1	16.2	9.6	4.5	W2	6-4

Injury Report

Thunder

• Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Ousmane Dieng (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (strained left soleus) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Jaylin Williams (right heel bursitis) is OUT.

Warriors

• Jimmy Butler (illness) is OUT.
• LJ Cryer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Seth Curry (left sciatic nerve irritation) is OUT.
• Stephen Curry (sprained left ankle) is OUT.
• Draymond Green (rest) is OUT.
• Al Horford (right sciatic nerve irritation) is PROBABLE.
• Trayce Jackson-Davis (patellar tendonitis in right knee) is AVAILABLE.
• Malevy Leons (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• De’Anthony Melton (left knee injury management) is OUT.

Series History

OKC is 2-0 against Golden State so far this season (1-0 at home, 1-0 on the road).

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-10.5)

I had Golden State covering the double-digit spread, but that was before Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler were ruled out alongside Draymond Green. This leaves the Warriors significantly hampered in what they can do on the offensive end, so barring an extremely poor performance by OKC, I see the Thunder covering easily.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (228.5)

OKC’s defense looked a lot more typical on Wednesday against Portland, forcing 24 turnovers and holding the Trail Blazers to just 95 points. Golden State’s offense relies heavily on Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler. They are going to struggle to score points without those two, and even if the Thunder is firing on all cylinders, I don’t know if this one touches this point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	29-5	18-16	15-19
Zack	29-5	19-15	16-18
Craig	29-5	12-21-1	12-22