Thunder Against the Spread | SGA Looks to Break Wilt’s Record At Home as OKC is Favored Over Boston

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-7.5)

Total: 217.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Celtics
31-35 (47%)	All	38-27 (58%)
15-19 (44%) at home	Location	22-12 (64%) on the road
28-34 (45%) as favorite	Status	11-7 (61%) as underdog
14-19 (42%) as home favorite	Location Status	8-5 (61%) as road underdog
0–0 (0%)	Head To Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 36-30 (54%) against the over on the season.
• Boston is 24-32 (35%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 17-17 (50%) against the over at home.
• The Celtics are 12-22 (35%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
BOS	114.5	107.2	46.5	36.4	46.3	24.5	12.1	7.2	5.3	L1	7-3
OKC	118.8	107.9	48.2	36.1	43.8	25.5	12.6	9.7	5.5	W6	9-1

Injury Report

Thunder

• Branden Carlson (strained lower back) is OUT.
• Isaiah Hartenstein (left calf contusion) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (strained right hamstring) is OUT.

Celtics

• Payton Pritchard (neck spasms) is AVAILABLE.
• Baylor Scheierman (fractured left thumb) is AVAILABLE.
• Jayson Tatum (right Achilles injury management) is OUT.
• John Tonje (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Nikola Vucevic (fractured right ring finger) is OUT.
• Derrick White (right knee contusion) is QUESTIONABLE.

Why the Thunder Will Cover (-7.5)

While OKC is not quite fully healthy, they take a good step forward tonight with Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso both available. That alone gives them even more of an edge over the Celtics, who have some question marks on their injury report. Regardless of who Boston plays, OKC is getting SOMETHING from multiple SOMEONES pretty much every night. I think the Thunder elevates tonight in front of a national audience in a big game in which Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should break Wilt Chamberlain’s record of consecutive games with 20+ points. I like OKC to cover.

Why the Game Will Hit the Over (217.5)

When the top two teams in the league in points allowed go head-to-head, the point total tends toward the lower side, but I’m not buying it. Both teams take really good care of the ball, so that will limit transition and quick-scoring opportunities, but I’m just not convinced that this game won’t have scoring outbursts. I like the over, even if it just barely covers late.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	51-14	30-35	27-38
Zack	52-14	32-34	32-34
Craig	50-15	24-40-1	27-38