Thunder Against the Spread | Thunder Returns Home to Host Bulls as Heavy Favorite

Tip-Off: 7 PM CT

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City, Oklahoma)

Spread: Thunder (-19.5)

Total: 236.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Bulls
34-39 (46%)	All	34-38 (47%)
16-20 (44%) at home	Location	14-20 (41%) on the road
31-38 (44%) as favorite	Status	26-20 (56%) as underdog
15-20 (42%) as home favorite	Location Status	13-10 (56%) as road underdog
0-1 (0%)	Head To Head	1-0 (100%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 38-35 (52%) against the over on the season.
• Chicago is 34-38 (47%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder is 17-19 (47%) against the over at home.
• The Bulls are 19-15 (55%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
CHI	116.3	120.8	46.9	36.3	45.1	28.8	15.2	7.5	5.0	L1	4-6
OKC	118.6	107.6	48.2	36.0	44.0	25.6	12.5	9.6	5.5	L1	9-1

Injury Report

Thunder

• Brooks Barnhizer (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Thomas Sorber (right ACL surgical recovery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (G League — on assignment) is OUT.

Bulls

• Zach Collins (sprained right 1st toe) is OUT.
• Rob Dillingham (bilateral patella tendonitis) is PROBABLE.
• Noa Essengue (left shoulder surgery) is OUT.
• Jaden Ivey (left patellofemoral pain syndrome) is OUT.
• Yuki Kawamura (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Mac McClung (G League — two-way) is OUT.
• Isaac Okoro (right patellofemoral pain syndrome) is PROBABLE.
• Nick Richards (sprained right elbow) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Anfernee Simons (fractured left ulnar styloid) is OUT.
• Jalen Smith (strained right calf) is OUT.
• Guerschon Yabusele (sprained left ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-19.5)

OKC being back at home is a nice change of pace after 5 straight road games on the East Coast, but this spread is huge, even for playing the Bulls. While I do think the Thunder wins easily, I would not be in the least surprised if Mark Daigneault goes deep into his bench early, experimenting with different lineups now that the whole team is healthy. As a result, I can see Chicago covering the spread, maybe late, but covering nonetheless.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (236.5)

Regardless of how deep Daigneault digs into the bench, the Thunder plays defense at a high level. The Bulls have some offensive talent, but they’re lacking size due to injuries, and I just don’t see them being able to score easily or consistently against whoever OKC puts on the bench. I’m taking the under on this point total.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	57-15	32-40	31-41
Zack	58-15	35-38	37-36
Craig	56-16	26-45-1	30-42