Thunder Against the Spread | OKC Favored on the Road Against Mavericks Despite Lengthy Injury Report

Tip-Off: 8:30 PM CT

Location: American Airlines Center (Dallas, Texas)

Spread: Thunder (-6)

Total: 229.5

Trends Against The Spread

Thunder	vs.	Mavericks
3-1 (66%)	All	2-2 (50%)
1-0 (100%) on the road	Location	0-1 (0%) at home
3-1 (75%) as favorite	Status	2-2 (50%) as underdog
1-0 (100%) as road favorite	Location Status	0-1 (0%) as road underdog
0-0 (0%)	Head-to-Head	0-0 (0%)

Trends Against The Total

• Oklahoma City is 1-3 (25%) against the over on the season.
• Dallas is 1-3 (25%) against the over on the season.
• The Thunder are 0-1 (0%) against the over at home.
• The Mavericks are 0-1 (0%) against the over on the road.

Team Stats

TEAM	PTS	PA	FG%	3P%	REB	AST	TOV	STL	BLK	STRK	L10
OKC	111.3	100.8	44.6	34.6	46.8	23.3	15.0	9.5	7.8	W4	4-0
DAL	112.5	116.0	49.6	34.2	43.0	27.0	18.5	10.3	7.8	W1	2-2

Injury Report

Thunder

• Alex Caruso (sprained right ankle) is OUT.
• Chet Holmgren (right knee patellar tendinitis) is OUT.
• Ajay Mitchell (sprained right ankle) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Thomas Sorber (right knee surgery) is OUT.
• Nikola Topic (low back surgery) is OUT.
• Cason Wallace (left shoulder labral tear) is OUT.
• Jalen Williams (left ankle fracture) is OUT.

Mavericks

• Santi Aldama (right knee surgery) is OUT.
• Tarik Biberovic (right heel bursitis) is OUT.
• Sergio de Larrea (sprained right knee) is OUT.
• Kyrie Irving (left knee injury management) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Dereck Lively II (right foot surgery) is OUT.
• Naji Marshall (illness) is QUESTIONABLE.
• Caleb Martin (sprained right thumb) is QUESTIONABLE.

Why the Thunder Will NOT Cover (-6)

OKC is far and away the better team, but tonight’s injury report could make this one more interesting than normal. The Thunder are missing Jalen Williams and Cason Wallace for the season, but Chet Holmgren and Alex Caruso are also out tonight. Add to it that Ajay Mitchell could be missing, and OKC could be without 5 of their top 7 players.

The Mavericks are not perfectly healthy, however, with a couple of questions around key players, namely Kyrie Irving, who is back to playing after missing last season with a torn ACL.

The final injury report will likely give us a better idea of what to expect tonight, but I still like OKC to cover the spread. The Thunder are playing their 3rd game in 5 days, but the Mavericks are playing their 4th game in 6 days. Even with all the injuries, OKC is the deeper team, and having the reigning back-to-back MVP is kind of a big deal.

Why the Game Will NOT Hit the Over (229.5)

Even with extensive injuries, the Thunder were able to play solid defense against the Phoenix Suns on Monday. It wasn’t perfect, but it was still pretty impressive. The Mavericks aren’t exactly great on either side of the ball, but I think considering where both teams are at with their lineups, I think staying under the point total is the move.

Staff Picks

On the Season

Name	Moneyline	Spread	Over/Under
Matt	2-2	1-3	2-2
Zack	4-0	2-2	2-2
Craig	4-0	3-1	2-2